Technoptomistic
October 26th 2006 04:45
One thing you learn about, from reading about the future of technology is that it’s bright it’s big and its here now, or coming very soon. You also learn that’s a pack of lies.
Not yet, after years of reading about technology, have I read about something to do with the future of technology that has come to pass at set date, let alone pass. It always diverts from one place to another. I read in APC magazine (Australian PC User) that by 2005 desktop PC’s would be replaced by SFF PC’s (Small form factor). In all fairness I read that in 2005, it was written in 2004, as you can probably tell that didn’t happen. Now for those of us who are looking for a slender PC we go buy laptops, for others we stick to our normal PC’s. Another example is Back in 2002 I read that by 2007 we should see photorealistic graphics in games, well, no, we haven’t even gotten close, the best is still quite fake, and we probably still have a long way to go.
There is talk that mobile phones will replace PC, but this talk is nonsense. From the original article one Technoptomistic suggested with all the uses of mobile phones that in the not too distant future PC’s themselves would be replaced. Apparently by 2012 we are expected to have bending LCD screens, as such we can create fold out monitors and package them in tiny spaces. Will this technology help make mobile phones replace PCs and laptops? Of course not, there’s still the problem of battery supply, small keyboard, not to mention the technology doesn’t even exist yet.
You see, it should work like this, there’s a law, it’s called ‘Moore’s Law’ (ah yes us computer scientists are creative name makers), which suggests that transistors in a chip will double every 18 months. It keeps true, has so far. But there should be another law introduced, not too dissimilar to Moore’s law, that is, ‘technology will never reach where you want it without getting half way there first’. That is how it works after all. It goes and goes and goes, you think that’s it, the next step is the big one, it’s when we’ll have internet fridges, or photorealistic games. Is it ever? Nope, it is always the half way mark. The internet fridge has its problems, and the graphics still look fake.
Looking further down the road, it’s clear, where not going to mars, not until we pass the half way mark first, and we have to remember, that half way mark has its own half way. In essence we pass half ways over and over again, I suppose that is what drives the development of technology then. The fact it never reaches where we want it to, our original goal is always humble, but we never reach it, and it ends up going through half ways, almost always just about being there, but never quite hitting the level we want.
Final Fantasy XIII to be released on the Playstation 3 is still not quite photo-realistic
There is talk that mobile phones will replace PC, but this talk is nonsense. From the original article one Technoptomistic suggested with all the uses of mobile phones that in the not too distant future PC’s themselves would be replaced. Apparently by 2012 we are expected to have bending LCD screens, as such we can create fold out monitors and package them in tiny spaces. Will this technology help make mobile phones replace PCs and laptops? Of course not, there’s still the problem of battery supply, small keyboard, not to mention the technology doesn’t even exist yet.
You see, it should work like this, there’s a law, it’s called ‘Moore’s Law’ (ah yes us computer scientists are creative name makers), which suggests that transistors in a chip will double every 18 months. It keeps true, has so far. But there should be another law introduced, not too dissimilar to Moore’s law, that is, ‘technology will never reach where you want it without getting half way there first’. That is how it works after all. It goes and goes and goes, you think that’s it, the next step is the big one, it’s when we’ll have internet fridges, or photorealistic games. Is it ever? Nope, it is always the half way mark. The internet fridge has its problems, and the graphics still look fake.
Looking further down the road, it’s clear, where not going to mars, not until we pass the half way mark first, and we have to remember, that half way mark has its own half way. In essence we pass half ways over and over again, I suppose that is what drives the development of technology then. The fact it never reaches where we want it to, our original goal is always humble, but we never reach it, and it ends up going through half ways, almost always just about being there, but never quite hitting the level we want.
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How did they ever cope with being stuck halfway between the Earth and Mars? a quick side trip to a small never to be revealed planet as it is in such an orbital position that it is always hidden from Earth's sight.
Your article was well written but didn't really answer anything, just posed the question of the half way mark, which was a good question in itself.
Perceiving you as a man of few words, if very techy, I've already said too much already and shall leave on my racing thoroughbred
I leave you with my compliments, I have learned a little more about you.
katyzzz